He did so in part because swing voters, Independents and some late-deciders broke toward him after a series of October surprises, along with Clinton fatigue and a thirst for change. Trump won in 2016 by the slimmest of margins, losing the popular vote to Clinton but squeaking out victories in a series of battleground states to capture the electoral college. President Joe Biden’s most senior advisors have watched Trump’s GOP poll numbers surge, which have only reinforced their belief that the nation’s 45th president will stand as the Republicans’ nominee to be its 47th, according to four Biden allies not authorized to publicly discuss private conversations.Īnd they believe Trump is also likely the Republicans’ most beatable nominee.įirst and foremost, Biden world points to the 2020 election as the top reason for confidence in a potential rematch: We beat Trump once, they say, and will again.ĭavid Siders and Anita Kumar and Christopher Cadelago Inside the White House, a more bullish view of the race has come into focus. But he said he’s personally not sure of it - given the passionate following he maintains and the historic underappreciation of his support. John Fetterman’s campaign, conceded that the “universal consensus” was that Trump was “the weakest candidate” in the GOP field. Tommy McDonald, a Pennsylvania-based Democratic strategist who worked as a media consultant for Sen. “And he likely will take on more water over time as several of the other legal cases play out.” All republished articles must include our logo, our reporter’s byline and their DCNF affiliation.“I’d say in a general election Trump may be the weakest of the major GOP contenders,” said Democratic strategist Mark Longabaugh. The White House did not immediately respond to the Daily Caller News Foundation’s request for comment.Īll content created by the Daily Caller News Foundation, an independent and nonpartisan newswire service, is available without charge to any legitimate news publisher that can provide a large audience. The Real Clear Politics (RCP) average for a general election matchup between Trump and Biden, based on polls conducted between April 11 and May 5, indicates that Trump has a slight lead over the president with 0.7%. “The pundits and Beltway media have always underestimated Joe Biden, and he’s proven the doubters wrong every time.” “The Biden-Harris reelection campaign is building on the work of a historically strong DNC and state party operation, unified after the best midterm performance of a sitting president since FDR, and on the offense against a deeply unpopular MAGA agenda,” Kevin Munoz, Biden’s campaign spokesperson, told Politico. While some Biden aides don’t want to take anything for granted in 2024, others downplayed their critics, and insisted that the president’s record is enough, according to Politico. He is a creature of the legislature and he believes that passing legislation is good governing and he’s passed some damn good legislation. “The ABC poll, while it is an outlier, it’s also a warning, right?” Terrance Woodbury, CEO of progressive firm HIT Strategies, told Politico. The president’s approval rating reached a new low at 36%, and he lost to Trump in a hypothetical matchup 38% to 45%. “There’s like, just full-throated fucking panic.”Ī Washington Post/ABC poll showed that most Democrats and left-leaning independents prefer someone else to be the party’s nominee rather than Biden, and only 32% believe he has enough mental capacity to be president. “Democrats are bedwetters historically,” Jim Messina, former campaign manager for President Barack Obama’s reelection, told Politico.
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